Wednesday, November 17, 2004
Swinging Sammy
An interested reader wanted to know what Sammy Sosa's chances were for passing up Reggie Jackson as the whiffingist man alive. Well, Sammy ended 2004 with 2110 career K's, 487 behind Reggie. He's projected to have 415 strikeouts by the end of his days, which gives him a 35% chance of doing it. I think that Sammy might be swinging more in the future, and there will be some team willing to have him on the roster, so I think that 35% is a low estimate.
The best other candidate I could find (somebody fairly young, lots of talent, lots of Ks) was Thome - he clocks in at 23% Nobody else is even close.
posted by David 10:25 PM
