The Numbers Game: Baseball's Lifelong Fascination with Statistics
by Alan Schwarz
Reviewed by The Crank
I had relatively low expectations for Alan Schwarz' "The Numbers Game"
given the unhappy trend in baseball publishing of covering every
conceivable topic. This trend has resulted in all too many books that
cover small topic areas without much in the way of original research,
insight, or entertainment value.
I was thus pleasantly surprised when "The Numbers Game" turned out to
be a crisply-written book that transcends the apparently dry subject
matter of the evolution of baseball statistics. Schwarz has chosen a
somewhat episodic approach to his material, focussing as much on
specific personalities responsible for the evolution of the use,
abuse, understanding, and misunderstanding of statistics in baseball
as any particular topic of this number or that. As such, it reads more
as a social history of the game through the lens of the numbers as a
tome on stats.
There are lots of delicious anecdotes here: the shenanigans of
adjusting the Baseball Encylopedia to fit accepted conventional
notions of stardom; manipulations of the 1911 batting race records
made to deny the hated Ty Cobb a car; the nearly forgotten
contributions of the Lindseys of Canada to the scientific study of the
game; infighting between the old guard of the Elias bureau and the new
Turks, STATS, Inc., and the internecine fighting between amateurs and
entrepreneurs that has marked the history of the latter; the great
contributions of amateurs and the muted responsiveness of the baseball
establishment to the likes of home statheads ranging from Bill James
to Voros McCracken.
The coverage of the evolution of baseball thinking since Bill James
first appeared on the scene in 1977 is particularly good. Perhaps I'm
biased because I know many of the parties mentioned and was a witness
second-hand to many of the tiny, perhaps pointless, fights that lace
through this period, but Schwarz did a pretty fair job at sorting out
the fact from the self-serving fictive.
It's on this point that I think the book truly excels. There's an
underlying theme about the nature of evidence and expertise, of the
battle between those seeking a detailed truth and those in love with
baseball mythology over the less smooth contours of reality, that has
some lessons above and beyond the nearly literally-trivial world of
baseball statistics.
Schwarz does a wonderful job at describing this process of change, and
I highly recommennd this book for baseball fans, and give it a modest
recommendation for those less interested in baseball but with an
interest in the sociology of the use of evidence.
When one sees a sea-change in baseball's conduct because of the
revelations about On-Base Percentage -- basic facts known a century
earlier but studiously ignored because they did not serve the
short-term interests of the players or owners -- it's hard to say
there aren't even more surprises in store for baseball. Reliving this
evolution makes for great Hot Stove League reading.
A few minor criticisms: there are no footnotes or bibliography, which
seriously limits the usefulness of this book for scholarly reference.
There are some incorrect facts and short-hand misstatements that may
seem picayunish, but the readers of this book are likely to be
nitpickers. The title is also a bit non-sensical -- whose lifelong
fascination... ?
While I enjoyed the reconstruction of some original 19th century box
scores, I felt there should be more illustrations of variations in the
evolution of scorekeeping. On this latter point, this book should not
be considered a true history of the subject matter per se, as it falls
short in presenting original evidence. But one supposes that's what
SABR is for.
Incidentally, the foreword by Peter Gammons is among the more lively
bits of his writing I've seen in recent years, and a great
table-setter for the subject matter of the book.
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